Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.035724 0.041503 0.047921 0.055578 0.064467 0.074467 0.086574
2025-12-07 0.026354 0.033809 0.042939 0.054946 0.070340 0.089435 0.114960
2025-12-14 0.020419 0.028287 0.038681 0.053426 0.073844 0.101172 0.140633
2025-12-21 0.016449 0.024275 0.035275 0.051888 0.076397 0.111327 0.165085
2025-12-28 0.014276 0.022249 0.034077 0.052928 0.082310 0.126521 0.198429
2026-01-04 0.012426 0.020328 0.032623 0.053184 0.086836 0.139981 0.230783
2026-01-11 0.010928 0.018682 0.031283 0.053294 0.090958 0.153116 0.264190
2026-01-18 0.009822 0.017488 0.030454 0.054036 0.096083 0.168356 0.302981
2026-01-25 0.009001 0.016647 0.030071 0.055425 0.102404 0.186285 0.348731
2026-02-01 0.007849 0.015040 0.028117 0.053699 0.102837 0.193757 0.376366
2026-02-08 0.007049 0.013969 0.026976 0.053291 0.105594 0.205700 0.413850
2026-02-15 0.006345 0.012983 0.025860 0.052756 0.107979 0.217137 0.451728
2026-02-22 0.005878 0.012419 0.025514 0.053750 0.113643 0.235911 0.507511
2026-03-01 0.005305 0.011559 0.024467 0.053172 0.116006 0.248345 0.551877
2026-03-08 0.004723 0.010601 0.023094 0.051709 0.116272 0.256392 0.587828
2026-03-15 0.004213 0.009731 0.021793 0.050222 0.116262 0.263797 0.623299
2026-03-22 0.003956 0.009394 0.021614 0.051229 0.122009 0.284659 0.692669
2026-03-29 0.003669 0.008951 0.021138 0.051477 0.126008 0.302016 0.756098
2026-04-05 0.003402 0.008519 0.020632 0.051583 0.129673 0.319030 0.821045
2026-04-12 0.003198 0.008214 0.020390 0.052302 0.134935 0.340544 0.900333
2026-04-19 0.003047 0.008022 0.020397 0.053646 0.141954 0.367294 0.996948
2026-04-26 0.002750 0.007415 0.019292 0.051976 0.140924 0.373462 1.039669
2026-05-03 0.002546 0.007026 0.018699 0.051581 0.143239 0.388627 1.109124